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River Alliance of CT > Priority Topics > Streamflow > Streamflow and Groundwater Overview in CT

Know Your Flow!

Updated Oct 16, 2018
Sections of this page updated as needed; refer to dates in each section

Link to webpage

Rivers Alliance thanks Loureiro Engineering Associates, Inc. for their generous sponsorship of the Know Your Flow page.

Current CT Conditions
At A Glance



(Click on any graphic below for more information)
Streamflow in CT Now
(click map to go to the data page)

 [color code for]  color code for  color code for color code for  color code for  color code for  color code for               [color code for]       
   High Flow     Low Flow        Not Ranked
CT Current Streamflow. Click to go to source page.
Recent Flow At a CT Stream
(click graph for details)

Link to Burlington Brook flow data
Groundwater Level
(click graph to see more well data)
USGS monitoring well. Click to see more.
Check your forecast here
(click map to go to state weather page)
Link to NWS graphic page
Graphic courtesy NOAA showing CT area watches and warnings if any.

Streamflow Discussion 

Summary: as of Oct 16, overall streamflow is still at very high levels, but peak streamflows during storms has been decreasing since the heavy rains of Oct 1-3 brought flooding and other problems to many communities in Connecticut. The low point between storms is also dropping, and groundwater levels, though high, are generally steady or falling slightly. These trends suggest we will not soon see widespread flooding unless weather patterns change. A computer model is predicting little precipitation until a nor'easter in the last days of the month.  

Trends: the graph below is an example of Connecticut streamflow patterns since the beginning of August  when periods of unusually heavy rainfall were separated by 2 dry weeks.  The first three weeks of August saw high streamflow during storms as expected, but in most cases streamflow did not drop back to normal before the next storm hit. Then, during the last week of August and the first week of September, storms were diverted around us by a persistent high pressure system, causing flows to fall steadily until most stream gages were reporting near normal flow rates for the time of year. 

Since September 7, storms have consistently tracked over Connecticut, resulting in streamflow peaking at higher and higher levels and coming often enough that the flow rates between storms also became progressively higher. 11 of the 77 USGS gaging stations in or near Connecticut reported flow rates that exceeded the two-year recurrence level (a level not expected statistically to occur more than once every two years) for those stations. 6 of those also exceeded their ten-year occurrence level. The result of new rainfall on saturated soil running off to streams still high from previous storms was that more flooding occurred with every storm. From Sep 12 to Oct 2 there were 64 reports of flooding to the National Weather Service and many news stories.  There is some general information about flooding below. Remember: Turn Around, Don't Drown!

Click the graph below to see all CT stream gage graphs for Aug 1 - Oct 15 (very large download, takes a while to load).

Click to see all CT stream gage graphs for Aug 1 - Oct 15 (very large download, takes a while to load).    

On Oct 8 (between storms), 40 of 63 USGS stream gages in CT were reporting very high streamflow, 22 gages were at high flow.  10 of those gages were still at flow rates higher than any average daily flow recorded for the date, even several days after the most recent rain.  We define high flow as at or over their 75th% percentile for that date, very high are 90% or higher, from the data file at  https://waterwatch.usgs.gov/webservices/realtime?region=ct&format=xml  when rivers are near their low points between storms. 

Why do we count? The flow between storms is an indicator of long-term stream conditions. Although expansion of a river or stream channel onto its floodplain is a normal, natural occurrence, human interference can cause higher than normal and more frequent flooding. The higher the water level remaining in streams and rivers before a storm, the more likely there will be dangerous conditions, streambed scouring, and other detrimental effects of high water.

When water levels are low, portions of the streambed become too dry to support the aquatic life that usually colonizes those areas. Groundwater seeping from the stream banks can help organisms survive for short times; therefore, well measurements can also be used to identify areas where aquatic life might be in jeopardy.

A count of the number of USGS stream gages reporting low flow at their lowest point between storms is valuable as an indicator of conditions statewide. If the number of streams that reach low levels between storms is increasing over time, it raises concern for the recovery of stream ecosystems from dry conditions of previous years. If the count decreases, we can look for recovery. If most of the low-flow gages are in the same area of the state, it could indicate a regional problem. We also note any record low flows for the date (see Sep 14, 2017 discussion).

Brief high water, even flooding, caused by sporadic heavy rain does little to alleviate long-term effects of dry conditions, because it takes time for ecosystems to recolonize streambeds after a drought has killed off aquatic organisms. Direct observation of any particular segment of stream is necessary to determine actual streambed conditions, because there are only 62 stream gages in Connecticut and the conditions they report may not represent the conditions in the hundreds of streams with no gages. A discussion of normal streamflow patterns can be found here.   

Data Links
Click here for today's USGS Connecticut stream gage web page with graphs
of flow from every gage for the past 30 days compared to their historic daily flows
.

Cick here for a list of all CT stream gages comparing their flow
right now to their mean and median flows for today's date
.

Click here for a discussion from an archived Know Your Flow!
web page of what streamflow patterns usually look like
.

Check for electronically reported sewage spills in the last three days.

Sep 12 to Oct 2 reports of flooding to the National Weather Service

Groundwater Discussion

In Connecticut, the USGS has 10 real-time groundwater monitoring wells. All of them show large rises in the water table over the past months to well above normal for the time of year. The rise began in August for two them; the rest showed more modest increases until September. Since the end of September, the water level in those wells has shown small increases and decreases as storms have added groundwater, but overall their levels have remained pretty steady or has fallen slightly. 

On Oct 16, of the six realtime well reports that compare the current depth to water table with the average for the date over multiple years of record:

1 well was near normal, 
1 was above normal,
1 was much above normal,
3 were setting high water table records for the date based on six to sixteen years of records. 
 

The USGS Groundwater Watch website displays data from 60 other wells that are measured once a month, comparing the most recent measurements to each well's measurements taken in that month in previous years. At the end of September:

6 of the 60 wells were near normal,
10 were above normal.
24 were much above normal,
20 wells were setting high water table records for September based on 

 Click here to see their current data. 

Monitoring the water table can provide clues to future conditions. There was an apparent pattern from 2013 to 2016 in which normal groundwater levels in winter and spring alternated with increasingly well-below-average levels in summer and fall.  Although 2017 groundwater levels did get as far below average as in 2014 or 2015, but they did not drop as far as they did in 2016. This year began to look like 2017 but the water tables began rising again in mid-July to mid-August so that this year's lowest water table levels were higher than any low point in at least 5 years.   Click here to see all the CT USGS real-time groundwater measurements that compare levels from the last four years to the median level for each day of the year (lots of data, so it takes a long time to load). 

Groundwater levels influence streamflow. The water level in streams and rivers between storms depends on the flow of water out of the ground into the stream channel. The higher the water table, the more water is available to keep streams flowing. During a drought, smaller upland streams dry up faster than the larger rivers (click here for details from a previous Know Your Flow! webpage). An occasional brief, powerful rainstorm does not do much to help groundwater levels rise. The rain falls faster than the ground can absorb, and thus much of it becomes stormwater runoff. In contrast, public water supply systems that depend on reservoirs benefit from heavy rains because the reservoirs collect the runoff. The runoff, however, can wash pollutants into the reservoirs, lowering water quality.

High water tables keep streamflow from dropping very far or very fast between storms, so when the next storm hits, the runoff pushes streams to higher levels with more flooding. 

Precipitation Patterns 

Go to the National Weather Service (NWS) Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service at this link for updated, detailed maps and data about precipitation amounts for Connecticut at various time frames. Normal October rainfall across Connecticut ranges from 3 to 6 inches for the month. Weekly normal rainfall therefore is from 2/3 of an inch to 1 1/3 of an inch. On Oct 16, one-week forecasts were predicting a half to one inch of rain for CT. A long-range (15-day) model was predicting below normal rainfall after that until a possible nor'easter Oct 29 or so.

Click here for today's forecast for the next 7 days for the state's geographic center.

Click here for a prediction of total precipitation for the next 15-days.

For more information about past broad-scale weather patterns, see NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Information State of the Climate Synoptic DiscussionsSeptember 2018 information should be available the second week of October.

Some General Flood and Heavy Rain Information

The Connecticut Department of Health website has a good guide called:

 Flooding: Information for Homeowners About Private Wells, Sewage and Clean-Up link to DPH flooding guide

Flood predicting. Go to the Northeast River Forecast Center for flood probabilities at the gaging stations they monitor. Click here for current CT weather watches and warnings, if any. 

Paddling. Do not attempt to canoe or kayak on floodwaters; there are usually one or two fatalities per year. Our Connecticut Water Trails website and the webpages of the many paddler groups in the state all have good safety procedures.

Your sewage, your well. When a building is located in a floodplain, floodwaters can saturate and fill a leach field, often flushing out untreated sewage. Floodwater also can flow down into wells, introducing pollutants — such as sewage, soil, bugs, leaves, pesticides such as weed killer and insect poison, and even the dog droppings from the backyard — into the well.

Very important: Any well that was flooded should be pumped and flushed out thoroughly and the system sanitized or "shocked."

Heavy rainfall alone can cause sewage to get into waterways even if flooding does not happen.

You really do not want to be downstream when raw untreated human sewage is entering the water. 

Please see our Sewage / Wastewater Treatment Priority Topic webpage
for more information about sewage spills in Connecticut

Public Water Supply Information

Your water utility and town are the best sources of information on the status of your water supply. A few systems post their current capacities regularly on their websites.

Aquarion maintains on its website a weekly updated water usage report for their systems in southwest CT. The report includes water demand graphs, system transfers, system capacities, days usable storage remaining, and precipitation. As of Oct 8, all those systems were well above where each system usually is at this time year based on a 20-year average.  As of Oct 1, MDC reservoirs were at "99% of capacity with over 39 billion gallons in storage representing 657 days of supply assuming typical water use and no precipitation." The South Central Regional Water Authority reported that on Sep 30, its reservoirs ranged from 82% to 100% of capacity, averaging 86% of capacity, which is 18% higher than usual for the time of year..

The most recent CT Department of Public Health's Monthly Reservoir Status Summary was dated July 13. At a Water Planning Council meeting, a DPH representative reported that a new, more comprehensive and timely report system should be online in January. 

   

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Rivers Alliance of Connecticut
PO Box 1797, 7 West Street 3rd Floor, Litchfield, CT 06759-1797
860-361-9349
rivers@riversalliance.org, www.riversalliance.org